Teaching article
Chance trials do not owe us a balanced next result
Record repeated outcomes and discuss variation without treating short runs as predictions.
A short run of the same outcome can invite the claim that the other outcome is now due. Keep the full trial record and discuss what it shows without promising a compensating result next time.
Five results in one category do not guarantee that the next trial must fall in the other category.
Record the run without correcting it
Record every trial in order without correcting the sequence to look balanced. Variation is expected and short runs do not force future outcomes.
Define the possible outcomes. Record several independent trials. Compare observed counts cautiously.
A short sequence does not establish certainty about the next result.
What remains uncertain after the record? Work from prepared data if handling tokens is unsuitable.
Resources
- Reflection Journal Template — Use the blank reflection space for observations; write the measurement units and setup separately.
Further reading
Read next
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